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AMD Stock Jumps 7% as Data Center Revenue Nearly Doubles

AMD's Q3 revenue jumped 45% to $13.38 billion as data center sales nearly doubled, and Lisa Su says server revenue will double again by 2027.

AMD stock jumps 7% on earnings as data center revenue nearly doubles
AMD stock jumps 7% on earnings as data center revenue nearly doublesMightyFineBros / pixabay
By Sophie Lindqvist6 min read

Why it matters

  • AMD Q3 revenue hit $13.38 billion, up 45% from $9.25 billion a year earlier, beating the $13.09 billion consensus.
  • Adjusted EPS was $2.09 versus $1.95 expected; the stock jumped 7% after hours.
  • Data center now makes up 64% of AMD's revenue, up from 47% a year ago.
  • AMD guided Q4 revenue to about $17 billion, beating the $16.2 billion analyst estimate.
  • AMD is acquiring World Labs for $8.2 billion and has committed up to $5 billion to Anthropic.

AMD beat Wall Street's third-quarter expectations with $13.38 billion in revenue, up 45% from a year earlier, and its stock jumped 7% after the report as data center sales nearly doubled. The company cleared consensus on both lines: adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.09 versus the $1.95 analysts expected, and revenue beat the $13.09 billion LSEG consensus estimate.

The stakes here go beyond one earnings print. AMD is the clearest challenger to Nvidia in AI chips, and this quarter is the strongest evidence yet that its data center business — not PCs — is now the engine of the company.

Why did the stock move so much?

Investors were waiting to see whether AMD could keep pace with AI demand after a rough stretch. The stock had fallen three consecutive days amid an industrywide sell-off tied to fears about overspending on AI, even though shares remain up about 125% for the year.

The numbers answered those fears directly:

  • Revenue rose to $13.38 billion from $9.25 billion a year earlier, a 45% increase.
  • Adjusted EPS of $2.09 beat the $1.95 estimate.
  • Data center revenue nearly doubled year over year and now accounts for 64% of total revenue, up from 47% a year ago.

So-called neoclouds like CoreWeave and Nebius rallied earlier on Tuesday and stayed higher after AMD's results landed. The takeaway: the market read AMD's quarter as confirmation that AI infrastructure spending is still accelerating, not cooling.

What did Lisa Su say?

CEO Lisa Su told analysts on the earnings call that she expects server revenue to double year over year in 2027, and that data center AI growth will run even faster than the company projected 90 days ago. AMD expects the data center segment to drive the majority of its revenue and earnings growth going forward.

Su also addressed the question every AI chip buyer is asking — can AMD actually supply the demand? "We have worked across our supply chain to secure the wafers, substrates, advanced packaging, memory, and other key components needed to support much higher growth next year," she said on the call.

During a visit to Taiwan in October, Su said she plans to "substantially increase our supply in 2027." She and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang have both made multiple trips to Taiwan and South Korea this year, meeting with key suppliers including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and memory leaders SK Hynix and Samsung. The plain takeaway: the AI chip race is now as much about locking up manufacturing capacity as it is about designing silicon.

What about agentic AI and CPUs?

The most interesting part of AMD's story isn't the GPU fight. After years chasing Nvidia in AI graphics processors, AMD's traditional CPUs are having a resurgence thanks to agentic AI applications like Meta's Muse. The reason is mechanical: agentic apps rely on virtual machines that power server CPUs and can run for hours on their own. That workload profile plays directly to AMD's strengths.

Demand from agentic AI already pushed AMD shares to a record in October. Su expects the trend to compound. "Adoption is just starting, and we expect demand to grow sharply as agents are deployed more broadly and take on more complex work," she said on the call.

In short: AMD is no longer a one-product challenger to Nvidia. It's selling the compute layer underneath the agent economy.

How does AMD compare to Intel?

The contrast with Intel is stark. Intel disclosed similar data center growth just days earlier, with segment revenue up 78% in the third quarter. But Intel's stock plummeted 29% on Friday over concerns about weak guidance and its ability to meet demand.

Same market, opposite outcomes. AMD delivered both the growth and the supply commitments; Intel delivered growth with doubt attached. That divergence explains why investors rewarded one chipmaker and punished the other within a single week.

What's happening in the PC business?

Not everything is booming. AMD reports PC chip sales in a segment combined with gaming chips, and that business fell 8% year over year to $3.7 billion. Gaming revenue specifically dropped 40% from a year ago.

The broader PC market is weak. Global PC shipments declined 4% in the second quarter from a year earlier, according to Counterpoint Research, driven by soaring costs for memory and other components. Intel blamed the PC market for its poor outlook last week. AMD and Intel remain the largest makers of traditional x86 processors for laptops and desktops, while other laptops run on Arm-based chips from Qualcomm and Apple.

The takeaway: PCs are now a sideshow for AMD, dragging slightly while data center carries the business.

What did AMD guide for Q4?

For the fourth quarter, AMD expects roughly $17 billion in revenue, beating the $16.2 billion average analyst estimate from LSEG. The company sees gross margin coming in at 55%, slightly below the average estimate of 55.3% according to StreetAccount.

Who is buying AMD's AI systems?

AMD also sells data center GPUs and full rack-scale systems called Helios, which compete directly with Nvidia's Grace Blackwell and Vera Rubin systems. The customer list is now a who's-who of AI: Meta, Microsoft, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Oracle are all beginning to use Helios racks in their data centers. Meta said last week that its Helios racks are up and running.

AMD has backed that customer relationships with money. It agreed to invest $1 billion in Meta's equity offering, and it has committed up to $5 billion to Anthropic, which unveiled its highly anticipated prospectus last week as it moves toward a potentially historic initial public offering.

What about the World Labs deal?

In September, AMD said it would acquire World Labs for $8.2 billion in an all-stock deal. The San Francisco-based AI lab was founded by industry pioneer Fei-Fei Li and is developing a "world model" that simulates 3D environments to help build robots and other physically grounded AI applications.

The deal signals where AMD thinks the next demand wave sits: AI that interacts with the physical world, not just chatbots.

What's next?

AMD's quarter lands at a moment when investors are actively questioning how much AI spending is too much. A 45% revenue increase, a $17 billion Q4 guide, and supply agreements already locked in make AMD the strongest counterargument to that worry — and set up 2027, when Su expects server revenue to double again, as the year that proves or breaks the thesis.

Source: CNBC Tech

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Sophie Lindqvist

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Staff writer covering regulation, policy and their impact on artificial intelligence and machine learning at AI In Context.

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